πŸ“Š State of Marketing

Stikwood β€” Working Brief v5 Β· Updated February 18, 2026 Β· Prepared by Maven

🚨
Critical: Sample Contamination in Conversion Tracking

79% of all Shopify "purchases" are $16 sample orders. Every pixel on the site fires a Purchase event on sample checkouts β€” Meta, Google, TikTok, Pinterest. Ad algorithms are likely optimizing for sample-grabbers, not $983 buyers. Agency is aware and working on a fix. Full clarity needed on current setup.

Executive Summary
TL;DR

Stikwood is a ~$3.1M/year business split roughly 50/50 between DTC Ecommerce and Commercial (Trade Pro) β€” a fact invisible when looking at Shopify alone. The business has a traffic problem, not a conversion problem. AOV remains strong at ~$983 and the product converts when people find it. Total site traffic is down 26% YoY, with Organic Search leading the decline at -38%.

πŸ’Ό Commercial is ~half of revenue β€” must be measured & marketed separately from DTC
πŸ“‰ Traffic decline is the #1 threat β€” every channel shrinking except Email & Direct
πŸ”— Cross-platform attribution is broken β€” likely cut top-of-funnel spend that fed the whole system
⚠️ 79% of "purchases" are $16 samples β€” distorting all ad optimization & metrics
Key Metrics at a Glance
Total Revenue (2025)
$3.1M
πŸ“‰ -20% vs 2024
DTC Revenue
$1.7M
πŸ“‰ Declining
$82K Jan '26
Commercial Revenue
$1.3M
↔️ Lumpy/Stable
50% of total
Site Traffic/Year
639K
πŸ“‰ -26% YoY
~44K sessions Jan '26
Organic Search
150K
πŸ“‰ -38% YoY
Biggest volume channel
AOV (Real Purchases)
$983
↔️ Stable
NOT a pricing problem
Email Revenue / Year
$532K
βœ… Flows 13x campaigns
$333K from flows
Repeat Purchase Rate
22.2%
↔️ Healthy
40% buy new room
Sample Contamination
79%
🚨 of "purchases" are samples
$16 orders β‰  conversions
Meta ROAS (90 days)
3.37x
Retargeting: 5.57x
Prospecting: 0.99x (distorted)
Meta Spend / Month
$10.5K
πŸ“‰ Down 64% from peak
Was $3,900/wk
Email List Size
~31K
Top flow: Abandoned Cart
$105K/yr
Monthly Revenue Trend
Month Ecommerce Commercial Total Commercial %
Apr 2024$235K$178K$413K43%
Jul 2024$177K$216K$393K55%
Oct 2024$213K$127K$340K37%
Jan 2025$170K$126K$295K43%
Apr 2025$122K$122K$244K50%
Jul 2025$157K$113K$270K42%
Oct 2025$122K$211K$333K63%
Jan 2026$82K 🚨$135K$217K62%
Who Is the DTC Customer? (Epsilon Data, 7,848 matched households)
Universal Profile

Female (65%), age 35–54, college-educated (59%), HHI $250K+ (34% β€” 5Γ— national rate), homeowner ($350K–$750K+ home value). Trendsetter (401 index), online-first buyer (256 index), Apple iPhone (383 index), Amazon Prime (386 index). Buys high-ticket home decor at 4Γ— national rate.

πŸ‘© "Design-Forward Mom"
~50% of buyers
Age 37–48 Β· HHI $175–300K+
Motivated by creative control & design expression
Channels: Instagram, Pinterest, Meta
🏠 "The Upgrader"
~30% of buyers
Age 30–42 Β· HHI $150–250K+
Making their new house a home, room by room
Channels: Google Search, SEO, Meta
✨ "Affluent Aesthete"
~20% of buyers
Age 28–38 / 52–60 Β· HHI $175K+
Material authenticity, curated spaces, quality
Channels: Design publications, Instagram
Channel Health
πŸ“§ Email / Flows
$532K/yr βœ… Healthy
πŸ”— Direct Traffic
↔️ Stable
πŸ“± Meta Retargeting
5.57x ROAS ↔️ Working
πŸ” Organic Search
150K/yr πŸ“‰ -38% YoY
πŸ“± Meta Prospecting
0.99x ROAS (distorted) πŸ“‰ -64% spend
πŸ“£ Paid Social (Total)
πŸ“‰ -84% decline
DTC Customer Funnel β€” Channel Influence by Stage
⚠️ Why ROAS Alone Misleads at the Top of the Funnel

A top-of-funnel channel's job is to create future buyers, not close today's sale. Meta Prospecting introduces Stikwood to people who have never heard of it β€” those people then return days or weeks later via Google Search, Direct, or a retargeting ad. When we measure prospecting on last-click ROAS, we're penalizing the channel that started the journey and crediting the one that finished it.

The right lens per stage: Top-funnel β†’ reach, CPM, click quality  |  Mid-funnel β†’ engagement rate, time on site, email capture rate  |  Bottom-funnel β†’ ROAS, CVR, revenue per email sent

Top of Funnel
CPM / CTR
Reach & Quality
Not ROAS
Mid Funnel
Eng. Rate
Email capture,
time on site
Bottom Funnel
ROAS / CVR
5.57x retargeting
$105K/yr abandoned cart
Stage 1
πŸ”­ Awareness
First exposure to Stikwood. Customer doesn't know us yet. Goal: reach the right people at scale with a compelling visual hook.
Primary Channels
πŸ“· Organic Instagram πŸ“Œ Organic Pinterest πŸ” Top-of-funnel SEO (Inspiration Keywords) πŸ“° Press / Influencer
Current status: ⚠️ Meta Prospecting spend down 64% β€” Organic Instagram active at 126K followers. Top-funnel awareness is shrinking.
Stage 2
πŸ” Consideration
Customer is researching. They saw something inspiring and are now actively looking at wall treatment options, comparing Stikwood to alternatives.
Primary Channels
πŸ” Organic Search (Intent Keywords) πŸ“Œ Pinterest Search πŸ“ Blog / Workbench Content ⭐ Reviews / UGC
Current status: ⚠️ SEO down 38% YoY. Blog content drives traffic but low purchase intent. Consideration-stage capture is weakest link.
Stage 3
✨ Inspiration & Intent
Customer is inspired and leaning toward Stikwood. Browsing product pages, visualizing in their space, requesting a sample. Email captured.
Primary Channels
πŸ“§ Email β€” Browse Abandonment πŸ“§ Email β€” Post-Sample Flow πŸ“· Instagram (saved posts, DMs) πŸ’¬ Onsite Chat / Gorgias πŸŽ₯ Product Videos / Room Visualizer
Current status: 🚨 Post-sample flow converting at only 1%. Browse abandonment flow exists but not optimized. This is the biggest conversion opportunity.
Stage 4
πŸ’³ Decision & Purchase
Customer is ready to buy. Now is the time for urgency, social proof, frictionless checkout, and accurate order sizing. Close the sale.
Primary Channels
πŸ“§ Email β€” Abandoned Cart (5.57x equiv.) πŸ”— Direct / Bookmarked πŸ’¬ Live Chat / Support
βœ… Best-performing stage. Abandoned Cart: $105K/yr. Retargeting ROAS 5.57x. But: 79% of purchases are $16 samples β€” distorting optimization.
Stage 5
πŸ” Retention & LTV
40% of buyers do a second room. The next purchase is the highest-margin one β€” no acquisition cost. Activate repeat behavior within 30–60 days post-delivery.
Primary Channels
πŸ“§ Email β€” Post-Purchase Flow πŸ“§ Email β€” Cross-Sell (Day 30, 60, 90) πŸ“§ Email β€” Winback Sequence πŸ“· Instagram (Tag us / UGC ask) πŸ‘₯ Referral / Word of Mouth
⚠️ Post-purchase cross-sell flow not yet built. 22.2% repeat rate exists organically β€” huge upside to activate this deliberately.
Paid Channel
Organic Channel
Owned Channel (Email / Onsite)
Referral / Earned
Bold outlined pills = primary influence at that stage
What's Working vs. What Needs Work
βœ… Working
βœ…
Product-market fit ($983 AOV β€” not a pricing problem)
βœ…
Email automation ($333K/yr from flows alone)
βœ…
Meta retargeting (5.57x ROAS, working well)
βœ…
Trade Pro relationships (half of all revenue)
βœ…
Brand recognition (Direct traffic stable)
βœ…
Repeat behavior β€” 40% buy a second room
βœ…
Clear customer profile (Epsilon data β€” 7,848 matched households)
❌ Needs Work
🚨
Sample contamination in all conversion tracking (79% of "purchases")
❌
Top-of-funnel traffic (-26% YoY across every channel)
❌
Cross-platform attribution (broken β€” likely cut spend that was working)
❌
SEO content (drives traffic but 0.02% conversion β€” wrong intent)
❌
Post-sample nurture flow (1% conversion β€” leads with discounts not inspiration)
❌
Tracking foundation (5 critical issues β€” GA4, consent mode, Triple Whale)
❌
Checkout UX β€” 18% come back for small top-ups (under-ordered)
Tracking & Attribution Issues
πŸ”΄ Critical
Sample orders firing as Purchase eventsAd algorithms optimizing for $16 samples, not $983 purchases. 79% of all "purchase" signals are samples. Agency working on fix β€” needs full clarity.
πŸ”΄ Critical
Cross-platform attribution blindCan't see Meta β†’ Google β†’ Purchase journey. Likely turned off spend that was feeding total revenue.
πŸ”΄ Critical
No Google Consent Mode v2Losing conversion modeling, non-compliant since March 2024.
πŸ”΄ Critical
3 separate GA4 propertiesData fragmented β€” no single view of truth.
πŸ”΄ Critical
Klaviyo revenue sync broken20% of Placed Order events show $0. Actual email attribution likely higher than reported.
🟑 Important
Triple Whale loaded twiceDuplicate events skewing data.
🟑 Important
No cookie consent gatingLegal exposure. 20+ scripts loading without consent.
Priority Actions by Phase
Phase 0 β€” Weeks 1–2
πŸ”§ Fix the Foundation
Phase 1 β€” Weeks 2–4
⚑ Quick Wins
Phase 2–3 β€” Weeks 4–12
πŸš€ Build the Machine
Agent Build Priority
#1 Priority
πŸ“ˆ Pulse
Performance Monitor. Needs clean tracking first. Monitors DTC MER, flags anomalies.
#2 Priority
πŸ”Ž Rank
SEO Agent. Biggest volume channel declining fastest. Most traffic to recover.
#3 Priority
✍️ Wordsmith
Content Creator. Feeds SEO + social + email with conversion-focused content.
#4 Priority
πŸ’Œ Nurture
Email/CRM Agent. Improve sample flows, post-purchase cross-sell, Trade Pro sequences.
#5 Priority
πŸ“± Boost
Paid Media Agent. Optimize spend, run incrementality tests, rebuild prospecting.
State of Marketing Brief v5 Β· Updated February 18, 2026 Β· Prepared by Maven Β· For Steve Worth, Laura Demetrious, Tiffany Seeger